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回复:【讨论飓风】东太平洋飓风EP012017

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面对EC与GFS两大势力,NHC预报员也是左右为难啊...不过这基本不再上望TS强度也基本表明了对Adrian的态度...

让我们期待02E吧...


IP属地:上海33楼2017-05-11 20:39
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    啊啦啦~变得一丝不挂了呢


    IP属地:上海34楼2017-05-11 20:53
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      2025-12-25 03:26:16
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      2017051112 11.1 -93.6 25 1008 TD


      IP属地:浙江来自iPad35楼2017-05-11 20:59
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        全球热带气旋监测报告
        预报:王皘签发:董林 2017年 05月 11日 18时
        “阿德里安”减弱为热带低压
        热带风暴“阿德里安”(ADRIAN)今天(11日)在墨西哥(Mexico)南部洋面上减弱为热带低压,预计其强度仍可能于14~15日再次发展为风暴级别,中央气象台暂停对其监测。


        IP属地:湖北来自Android客户端36楼2017-05-11 21:04
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          GFS和hurricane model集体倒戈,可以彻底判死刑了,Alvin惨案翻版。



          来自Android客户端38楼2017-05-11 21:11
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            这就是所谓首旋


            来自Android客户端39楼2017-05-11 22:02
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              ...ADRIAN HAS BECOME A REMNANT LOW... ...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...
              ZCZC MIATCDEP1 ALL
              TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
              Post-Tropical Cyclone Adrian Discussion Number 8
              NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012017
              1000 AM CDT Thu May 11 2017
              Adrian consists of a rather insignificant-looking swirl of low
              clouds with just a few isolated showers. The system has been
              devoid of significant deep convection since yesterday afternoon, so
              it is being declared a remnant low on this advisory.
              The initial motion estimate is again 315/6 kt. The post-tropical
              cyclone is likely to turn toward the west-northwest to the south of
              a weak mid-level ridge over the next couple of days, and meander
              within weak steering flow to the south of Mexico later in the
              forecast period.
              This is the last advisory on Adrian unless regeneration occurs.
              For additional information on the remnant low please see High Seas
              Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
              header NFDHSFEPI, WMO header FZPN02 KWBC, and on the web at
              http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEPI.shtml.
              FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
              INIT 11/1500Z 11.3N 93.8W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROPICAL
              12H 12/0000Z 11.8N 94.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              24H 12/1200Z 12.5N 95.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              36H 13/0000Z 13.0N 96.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              48H 13/1200Z 13.4N 97.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              72H 14/1200Z 13.0N 98.0W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              96H 15/1200Z 12.5N 98.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              120H 16/1200Z 12.5N 98.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
              $$
              Forecaster Pasch


              IP属地:湖北40楼2017-05-11 22:36
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                01E ADRIAN 170512 0000 11.8N 93.9W EPAC 20 1009
                npp的vis night



                IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端41楼2017-05-12 18:38
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                  2025-12-25 03:20:16
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                  IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端42楼2017-05-12 20:40
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                    43楼2017-05-13 09:04
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                      01E ADRIAN 170512 1200 13.0N 95.8W EPAC 20 1008


                      来自WindowsPhone客户端44楼2017-05-13 19:30
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                        不知道存在的理由


                        IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端45楼2017-05-13 20:26
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                          FNMOC撤编


                          来自WindowsPhone客户端46楼2017-05-14 06:52
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                            遗照


                            来自WindowsPhone客户端47楼2017-05-14 06:54
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                              2025-12-25 03:14:16
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                              IP属地:浙江来自Android客户端48楼2017-05-14 07:26
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