CMA 40m/s

按照EC的路径走，华东恐

[cp]【“尼伯特”增强为台风级 将带来“焚风效应”[吃惊]】今天上午，今年第1号台风“尼伯特”已增强为台风级，并逐渐向台湾到华东沿岸靠近。气象专家介绍，若“尼伯特”继续北抬，将会给福建的厦门、漳州等闽南地区带来“焚风效应”，7日8日这些地方高温将加剧。注意防范！（央视记者黄珊）[/cp]

老J0530Z分析还没出，是要等到06Z了我到要看看那个分析员能分析出个什么来

為啥不接赤向把cdo搞大

底层已经很nice了，高层对流继续发展调整，慢一点开眼不是坏事

CMA不看数值在8点基础在稍修改

看见眼了

WTPQ20 RJTD 050600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME TY 1601 NEPARTAK (1601)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 050600UTC 16.2N 135.1E GOOD
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 955HPA
MXWD 080KT
GUST 115KT
50KT 50NM
30KT 180NM NORTHEAST 150NM SOUTHWEST
FORECAST
24HF 060600UTC 19.1N 129.2E 60NM 70%
MOVE WNW 17KT
PRES 940HPA
MXWD 090KT
GUST 130KT
48HF 070600UTC 22.0N 124.2E 110NM 70%
MOVE WNW 14KT
PRES 925HPA
MXWD 100KT
GUST 140KT
72HF 080600UTC 24.7N 121.4E 130NM 70%
MOVE NW 09KT
PRES 935HPA
MXWD 095KT
GUST 135KT =

TPPN10 PGTW 050614
A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (NEPARTAK)
B. 05/0600Z
C. 16.43N
D. 135.10E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: /PBO . CNVCTN WRAP OF 1.70 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS A DT
OF 4.5. PT AND MET AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
HART

TPPN10 PGTW 050614
A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (NEPARTAK)
B. 05/0600Z
C. 16.43N
D. 135.10E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. N/A
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: /PBO . CNVCTN WRAP OF 1.70 ON LOG10 SPIRAL YIELDS A DT
OF 4.5. PT AND MET AGREE. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
HART

ZCZC
TCPQ40 BABJ 050600
CCAA 05060 99398 11165
NEPARTAK 01162 11351 12334 245// 93016=
NNNN
CMA本报分析的CI也是4.5