09Z……不怎么样←_←：

还有，冷涡基本浅化了，不过旁边这个凶残的反气旋= =：

本以为看到09Z左右的动画是有旋转的迹象，结果就是又一大团对流爆出来后就往四周扩张，除了证明坚强不息，感觉都没啥用了= =话说明天能接上赤向流出吗……否则南侧发展不起来啊……我越来越持悲观了= =

这样有意思吗，一个个被机构牵着鼻子走到后来一个个失望，然后就说机构的各种垃圾，请做个安静风迷静观其变，等进二十四小时警戒线再激动行不

可以看看這塊對流的邊界非常明顯 可見只是比較強的對流塊 還不是CDO

UW - CIMSS ADVANCED DVORAK TECHNIQUE ADT-Version 8.2.1 Tropical Cyclone Intensity Algorithm ----- Current Analysis ----- Date : 04 JUL 2016 Time : 111000 UTC Lat : 13:31:37 N Lon : 139:46:21 E CI# /Pressure/ Vmax 3.7 / 989.9mb/ 59.0kt Final T# Adj T# Raw T# 3.7 3.9 3.9

明天早上能不能实现T5.0？

currentIntensityNumberOfTropicalCyclone:3
dataTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:3
cloudPatternTypeOfDtNumber:1
modelExpectedTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:3.5
trendOfPast24HourChangeDevelopedWeakened:1
patternTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:3.5
cloudPictureTypeOfPtNumber:1
finalTropicalNumberOfTropicalCyclone:3
finalTNumberType:1

TPPN10 PGTW 041234
A. TROPICAL STORM 02W (NEPARTAK)
B. 04/1200Z
C. 13.33N
D. 140.06E
E. FIVE/HMWRI8
F. T3.0/3.0/D0.5/24HRS STT: S0.0/03HRS
G. IR/EIR
H. REMARKS: 38A/PBO SBC/ANMTN. CNVCTN WRAPS .75 ON LOG10
SPIRAL, YIELDING A DT OF 3.0. MET AND PT AGREE WITH DT. DBO DT.
I. ADDITIONAL POSITIONS: NONE
CHAPPOTIN

怎么感觉中心在塌陷？

WTPQ20 RJTD 041200 RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NAME STS 1601 NEPARTAK (1601) UPGRADED FROM TS ANALYSIS PSTN 041200UTC 13.3N 139.7E FAIR MOVE WNW 16KT PRES 990HPA MXWD 050KT GUST 070KT 30KT 150NM FORECAST 24HF 051200UTC 16.4N 134.9E 60NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 970HPA MXWD 070KT GUST 100KT 48HF 061200UTC 19.7N 128.9E 110NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 955HPA MXWD 080KT GUST 115KT 72HF 071200UTC 22.9N 123.7E 140NM 70% MOVE WNW 15KT PRES 940HPA MXWD 090KT GUST 130KT =

对流空洞？

JMA 升STS 了

报告！前方风切减弱……

02W NEPARTAK 160704 1200 13.5N 139.7E WPAC 50 985