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Jasan Holding Group Investment

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标题:Jasan Holding Group Investment Value Analysis:Developing along the whole industry chain of socks
发布日期:2016-03-25 7:31:47
内容: A leading exporter of cotton socks The socks sector: stable demand and capacity reallocation inglobal stage, consumption upgrade in China Capacity expansion, and building “Jasan Home” to exploredomestic market Financial analysis: Strong and stable profitability with gross margin staying stable at 28~30% and netmargin 12~15%. The Company maintains an industry average turnover cycle of account receivables (99%of account receivables are received within less than 1 year). Its days of inventory are less thancomparables (96% of inventory is sold out within 6 months). Risks: (i) Slack capacity expansion and market exploration; (2) slow development of domesticproprietary brands. Earnings forecast, valuation and investment rating: As a leading producer of cotton socks, theCompany is pushing ahead with expansion of its domestic and overseas (mainly Vietnam) productioncapacities, and diligently exploring the domestic market via ¨Jasan Home〃. Its Chairman announces tosubscribe to 20% of the private placement (project has been approved by China Securities RegulatoryCommission), underlining the managementˇs firm confidence in the Companyˇs development prospect.Factoring in capacity ramp-up efforts and solid development of the ¨Jasan Home〃 business, we projectthe Companyˇ 2015/16/17E EPS to be Rmb0.37/0.52/0.67 and derive a TP of Rmb25.81 based on 50x2016E PE (average valuation of comparables is 62x 2016E PE, and average valuation of the textilemanufacturing sector is 25x PE) to reflect its fast earnings growth. Initiate OVERWEIGHT.


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