这么快。。。半夜起来才刷了几分钟，睡觉去了

于是第一报会直接命名么
20130528 1745 14.2 96.3 T2.5/2.5 92E 92E

TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022013
200 PM PDT TUE MAY 28 2013
THE AREA OF LOW PRESSURE THAT HAS BEEN MEANDERING NEAR THE GULF OF
TEHUANTEPEC DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF DAYS HAS DEVELOPED A
WELL-DEFINED CENTER OF CIRCULATION. IN ADDITION...DEEP CONVECTION
HAS BECOME MORE CONCENTRATED NEAR THE CENTER AND DVORAK
CLASSIFICATIONS ARE T2.0 FROM TAFB AND T2.5 FROM SAB. THEREFORE...
THIS AREA OF LOW PRESSURE IS NOW BEING CLASSIFIED AS A TROPICAL
DEPRESSION WITH MAXIMUM WINDS OF 30 KT.
THE INITIAL MOTION OF THE DEPRESSION IS QUITE UNCERTAIN SINCE THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER HAS BEEN ILL-DEFINED UP UNTIL NOW...BUT THE BEST
GUESS IS A NORTHWARD DRIFT. THE SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO TURN
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD WITH SOME INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED AS IT FEELS
THE INFLUENCE OF A LARGE TROUGH MOVING INTO THE CENTRAL UNITED
STATES. THE TRACK FORECAST CLOSELY FOLLOWS THE MODEL CONSENSUS AND
BRINGS THE CYCLONE TO THE SOUTHEASTERN COAST OF MEXICO IN ABOUT 24
HOURS.
THE ATMOSPHERIC AND OCEANIC CONDITIONS APPEAR FAVORABLE FOR THE
SYSTEM TO STRENGTHEN UNTIL IT MAKES LANDFALL...AND THE INTENSITY
FORECAST IS AT THE HIGH END OF THE MODEL GUIDANCE FOR THE NEXT 24
HOURS. AFTER LANDFALL...STEADY WEAKENING IS ANTICIPATED AS THE
CYCLONE INTERACTS WITH RUGGED TERRAIN. DUE TO THE LARGE CLOUD FIELD
AND EXPECTED SLOW MOTION...THE BIGGEST HAZARD WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY
RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 28/2100Z 14.2N 96.5W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 29/0600Z 14.9N 96.0W 40 KT 45 MPH
24H 29/1800Z 16.2N 95.7W 50 KT 60 MPH...INLAND
36H 30/0600Z 17.6N 95.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
48H 30/1800Z 18.6N 95.5W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
72H 31/1800Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/PASCH

2010 Hermine

没空抢啊

随着Barbara的诞生东太已连续两年在五月出现两个命名风暴 同时今年也与56,84,07和去年并列成为东太五月TC最多的年份

40kt

...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ASSOCIATED WITH BARBARA
EXPECTED TO REACH THE COAST OF SOUTHERN MEXICO EARLY WEDNESDAY...
8:00 PM PDT Tue May 28
Location: 14.5°N 95.7°W
Moving: NNE at 3 mph
Min pressure: 1001 mb
Max sustained: 45 mph

这是要进入加勒比海吗？

全球热带气旋监测报告
预报：张玲 签发：许映龙 2013 年 05 月 29 日 10 时
东太平洋热带风暴BARBARA生成
东太平洋热带风暴BARBARA已于5月29日上午（北京时，下同）在生成，08时BARBARA中心位于墨西哥（Mexico）萨利纳克鲁斯（Salina
Cruz）南偏西方大约230公里的洋面上，就是北纬14.2度、西经96.0度，中心附近最大风力有8级（20米/秒），中心最低气压为1004百帕。
预计，BARBARA将缓慢地向偏北方向移动，逐渐向墨西哥东南太平洋沿岸靠近，并可能于30日前后在上述沿海登陆，登陆前强度还将有所加强。

TROPICAL STORM BARBARA DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022013
800 PM PDT TUE MAY 28 2013
THE STRUCTURE OF BARBARA HAS IMPROVED DRAMATICALLY SINCE THE LAST
ADVISORY...AND INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGES HAVE EVEN SHOWN AN
EYE-LIKE FEATURE DURING THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. DVORAK ESTIMATES
FROM TAFB AND SAB WERE 35 KT AT 0000 UTC...BUT THE SATELLITE
PRESENTATION HAS IMPROVED SUFFICIENTLY SINCE THAT TIME TO START
WITH AN ADVISORY INTENSITY OF 40 KT.
A LITTLE BIT OF RELOCATION OF THE CENTER WAS REQUIRED BASED ON
RECENT SATELLITE DATA...BUT IT APPEARS THAT BARBARA NOW HAS A
MOTION OF 030/3 KT. THE CYCLONE IS MOVING NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD INTO
A BREAK IN THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE...AND IT SHOULD BEGIN TO
ACCELERATE OVER THE NEXT DAY OR SO AS A MID-LATITUDE TROUGH DEEPENS
OVER THE SOUTHERN UNITED STATES. THE NHC FORECAST TRACK BRINGS THE
CENTER OF BARBARA INLAND ALONG THE SHORE OF THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC
IN 12 TO 24 HOURS.
ANALYSES FROM UW-CIMSS INDICATE THAT BARBARA IS EMBEDDED IN A NARROW
ZONE OF NEGLIGIBLE SHEAR...AND THE CYCLONE IS OVER EXTREMELY WARM
WATER ON THE ORDER OF 30 DEGREES CELSIUS. GIVEN THE CURRENT
STRUCTURE OF BARBARA...ITS RELATIVELY SMALL INNER CORE...AND THE
FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS...A FAIRLY STEEP INCREASE IN
INTENSITY IS POSSIBLE BEFORE THE CENTER OF THE STORM REACHES THE
COAST. THE UPDATED NHC INTENSITY FORECAST IS HIGHER THAN THE
STATISTICAL GUIDANCE...FOLLOWING A TREND OF RAPID INTENSIFICATION IN
THE VERY SHORT-TERM...AND BRINGS BARBARA TO 55 KT IN 12 HOURS.
BARBARA COULD GAIN A LITTLE MORE STRENGTH JUST BEFORE REACHING THE
COAST...BUT TIME WILL BE THE LIMITING FACTOR. QUICK WEAKENING IS
EXPECTED AFTER LANDFALL...AND THE LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION SHOULD
DISSIPATE OVER THE ISTHMUS OF TEHUANTEPEC BY 48 HOURS...IF NOT
SOONER.
DUE TO THE EXPECTED SLOW MOTION OF BARBARA AND ITS REMNANTS...AS
WELL AS THE MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN IN AND NEAR THE LANDFALL AREA...THE
BIGGEST HAZARD WILL LIKELY BE HEAVY RAINFALL AND THE POTENTIAL FOR
FLASH FLOODING AND MUD SLIDES.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 29/0300Z 14.5N 95.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
12H 29/1200Z 15.3N 95.1W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 30/0000Z 16.7N 94.7W 45 KT 50 MPH...INLAND
36H 30/1200Z 17.9N 94.5W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
48H 31/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BEVEN

这厮的名字肿么可以这样...

芭芭拉 这名字好

生成了，预计有55kt左右吧(づ￣3￣)づ

45kt
...BARBARA STRENGTHENING IN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC...
11:00 PM PDT Tue May 28
Location: 14.5°N 95.7°W
Moving: NE at 3 mph
Min pressure: 1000 mb
Max sustained: 50 mph