India & China how to play with figures
by Nirjet Jenam (View MyPage) on Jan 23, 2012 08:30 PM All these figures of India overtaking China in 18 & 15 years are based on the assumptions that China growth rate will be either zero or negative. which is unlikely.
However if India achieves constast growth rate of 10% and China slows down to modest 2-3% then only India will be able catch up with China in roughly 50 years. However both scenarios looks unlikely.
Author is only playing with figures without telling the facts. 印度的这些数据将在15年到18年内超过中国,是以中国发展停止或者倒退为根据而得出的。这是不大可能的。如果印度稳定的以10%的速度增长,中国放缓到保守的2%至3%,那么印度可以在50年左右赶上中国。然而,两种情况都不大可能。作者只是在玩数字游戏,没有道出事实。
by Nirjet Jenam (View MyPage) on Jan 23, 2012 08:30 PM All these figures of India overtaking China in 18 & 15 years are based on the assumptions that China growth rate will be either zero or negative. which is unlikely.
However if India achieves constast growth rate of 10% and China slows down to modest 2-3% then only India will be able catch up with China in roughly 50 years. However both scenarios looks unlikely.
Author is only playing with figures without telling the facts. 印度的这些数据将在15年到18年内超过中国,是以中国发展停止或者倒退为根据而得出的。这是不大可能的。如果印度稳定的以10%的速度增长,中国放缓到保守的2%至3%,那么印度可以在50年左右赶上中国。然而,两种情况都不大可能。作者只是在玩数字游戏,没有道出事实。












