这货有希望C2吗

TXPQ28 KNES 310620
TCSWNP
A. 06W (JANGMI)
B. 31/0530Z
C. 21.7N
D. 127.9E
E. ONE/HIMAWARI-9
F. T4.5/4.5
G. IR/EIR/VIS
H. REMARKS...WMG EYE SURROUNDED BY DG RING AND EMBEDDED IN DG YIELDS
A DT OF 4.5. THE MET AND PT ARE 4.5 BASED ON A 24HR SLOW DEVELOPING
TREND. THE FT IS BASED ON THE DT.
I. ADDL POSITIONS
NIL
...GATLING

读了下，最大风力约82-83kt

路径好像18年的谭美

WTPQ50 RJTD 310600
RSMC TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY
NAME STS 2606 JANGMI (2606)
ANALYSIS
PSTN 310600UTC 22.0N 127.9E FAIR
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
50KT 100NM
30KT 240NM
FORECAST
12HF 311800UTC 23.4N 127.3E 25NM 70%
MOVE NNW 08KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
24HF 010600UTC 25.5N 127.4E 35NM 70%
MOVE N 11KT
PRES 970HPA
MXWD 065KT
GUST 095KT
48HF 020600UTC 30.4N 130.9E 55NM 70%
MOVE NNE 14KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 060KT
GUST 085KT
72HF 030600UTC 34.6N 139.6E 80NM 70%
MOVE ENE 21KT
PRES 975HPA
MXWD 055KT
GUST 080KT
96HF 040600UTC 36.8N 146.7E 100NM 70% EXTRATROPICAL LOW =

WP, 06, 2026053106, , BEST, 0, 218N, 1278E, 70, 976, TY,

JMA教你德法分析：
现在是Curved band DT2.5
注：使用弯曲云带分析时，将10°对数螺旋板的曲率中心台风中心位置上，画弯曲云带曲线，观察云带绕了中心几圈，以此决定DT。（粗略来讲是这样）
DT 2.5对应的圈数是……0.40~0.55
嗯……我们伟大的JMA认为现在蔷薇的弯曲云带绕中心0.40~0.55圈，大家学会了吗

本人似乎很早就已经给85了稍微看了一下，现在还是改到80，过几个小时形态差不多的话那我就给C2了

大环流

让gpt数了一下curved band

JMA认定EYE的要求很高。这种大烂眼就是按照Curved Band分析的。最著名的大烂眼2011年塔拉斯即使给日本造成了严重的灾难最佳路径也直接从65节降到50节。

WTKO20 RKSL 310600
KMA TROPICAL CYCLONE ADVISORY NO. 18
NAME 2606 JANGMI
ANALYSIS
POSITION 310600UTC 22.0N 127.9E
MOVEMENT NNW 8KT
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
FORECAST
12HR
POSITION 311800UTC 23.5N 127.3E WITHIN 20NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
24HR
POSITION 010600UTC 25.7N 127.4E WITHIN 45NM
PRES/VMAX 970HPA 68KT
36HR
POSITION 011800UTC 28.1N 128.7E WITHIN 60NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
48HR
POSITION 020600UTC 30.6N 131.1E WITHIN 70NM
PRES/VMAX 975HPA 62KT
72HR
POSITION 030600UTC 34.8N 139.6E WITHIN 105NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 56KT
96HR
POSITION 040600UTC 36.8N 146.9E WITHIN 155NM
PRES/VMAX 980HPA 52KT
KOREA METEOROLOGICAL ADMINISTRATION.