GENC 06z澳洲南太

眼大概在这，这个暖点应该不是OST

这个有机会冲c4吗

大雨带吃一吃

2026年4月4日，NASA载人绕月飞行任务“阿尔忒弥斯 II”宇航员在飞行器上回瞰地球，并拍摄下正共舞于南太平洋的两个热带气旋——Maila与Vaianu。
（图源NASA官网）

FMS 12Z T3.0（突破德法限制） 40KT
TROPICAL CYCLONE VAIANU CENTRE 992HPA WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.9S 172.2E
AT 051200 UTC. POSITION POOR BASED ON HIMAWARI IR IMAGERY AND
PERIPHERAL SURFACE REPORTS. CYCLONE MOVING SOUTH AT ABOUT 05 KNOTS.
MAXIMUM 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WINDS NEAR THE CENTRE ESTIMATED AT ABOUT 40
KNOTS.
EXPECT WINDS OVER 33 KNOTS WITHIN 110 NAUTICAL MILES IN E SEMICIRCLE
AND WITHIN 70 NAUTICAL MILES IN W SEMICIRCLE
DEEP CONVECTION REMAINS PERSISTENT OVER THE LLCC WITH PRIMARY BAND
WRAPPING ONTO THE LLCC FROM THE NORTH. ORGANIZATION HAS IMPROVED
SIGNIFICANTLY OVER THE PAST 24 HOURS. CYCLONIC CIRCULATION EXTENDS UP
TO 400HPA. SYSTEM LIES IN A MODERATE UPPER DIVERGENT AREA WITH A GOOD
POLEWARD OUTFLOW.CYCLONE LIES IN A LOW SHEARED ENVIRONMENT AND IS
MOVING IN TO AN AREA OF DECREASING SHEAR. SST AOUND 29 DEGREES
CELSIUS. DVORAK ANALYSIS BASED ON 0.7 WRAP YEILDS DT=3.0, PT= 3.5,
MET=3.0. FT BASED ON DT. THUS, YEILDING T3.0/3.0/D1.5/24HRS. DVORAK
FT CONTRAINT BROKEN.

图1是前面1210底层对应，我觉得北侧那些红的类似这个结构，南侧一点才是眼。图二是现在，橙色圈里是1220东侧vht卷绕下来的，对应底层东侧缺口刚完成卷绕

HAFS-A 06z预报巅峰95x，C3

这回可能是真正的眼区了

眼