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Tropical Low 24U
A tropical low (24U) may form to the north of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands on the weekend.
A trough lies to the northwest of the Australian region.
A weak tropical low (24U) may develop within this trough on the weekend and drift southwards, entering the Australian region to the north of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
During next week there is uncertainty over the movement of 24U. It may move towards the southwest initially, or remain slow moving. Later next week it may move towards the east.
If 24U forms, it will most likely remain a weak system during next week. There is only a Low (5%) chance of it developing into a tropical cyclone from next Tuesday.
Residents of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands should keep up to date with the latest forecasts.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:33 am UTC
A tropical low (24U) may form to the north of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands on the weekend.
A trough lies to the northwest of the Australian region.
A weak tropical low (24U) may develop within this trough on the weekend and drift southwards, entering the Australian region to the north of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands.
During next week there is uncertainty over the movement of 24U. It may move towards the southwest initially, or remain slow moving. Later next week it may move towards the east.
If 24U forms, it will most likely remain a weak system during next week. There is only a Low (5%) chance of it developing into a tropical cyclone from next Tuesday.
Residents of the Cocos (Keeling) Islands should keep up to date with the latest forecasts.
Last updated
an hour ago, 08:33 am UTC
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Over the far eastern part of the basin :
The ASCAT swath at 0339Z shows an elongated circulation to the northwest of the Cocos Islands with maximum winds of around 15 to 20 kt on the southern side of the circulation. Similar to the low-pressure area identified in the center of the basin, the vertical shear from the east could also limit the potential for this circulation to develop.
For the next 5 days, the likelihood of the formation of a tropical storm in the eastern parts of the basin become very low from Tuesday 17th February.
The ASCAT swath at 0339Z shows an elongated circulation to the northwest of the Cocos Islands with maximum winds of around 15 to 20 kt on the southern side of the circulation. Similar to the low-pressure area identified in the center of the basin, the vertical shear from the east could also limit the potential for this circulation to develop.
For the next 5 days, the likelihood of the formation of a tropical storm in the eastern parts of the basin become very low from Tuesday 17th February.
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