PAOLO is forecast to move generally west northwestward throughout the forecast period. On the forecast track, PAOLO may make landfall over Isabela or northern Aurora tomorrow (03 October) morning. Further southward shift of track is possible depending on the strength of the high pressure area located north of PAOLO. After crossing the landmass of Northern Luzon, it will emerge over the West Philippine Sea tomorrow afternoon and will continue moving west northwestward until it exits the Philippine Area of Responsibility by Saturday (04 October) morning.
PAOLO will continue to intensify while over the Philippine Sea and may reach severe tropical storm category tomorrow early morning. Further intensification into a typhoon prior to landfall is not ruled out. However, based on the intensity forecast, intensification into typhoon is highly likely once PAOLO emerges over the West Philippine Sea.
